Critical Thinking Tool
For four claims write:
- supporting evidence,
- disconfirming evidence,
- an alternative explanation,
- what evidence would change your mind.
How can beliefs and presentation influence what evidence people notice and which choices they make?
Without notes, write one idea you already know that might connect to Confirmation Bias, Framing & Decision-Making. Then write one question the lesson should help you answer.
How can beliefs and presentation influence what evidence people notice and which choices they make?
confirmation bias · belief perseverance · disconfirming evidence · framing · gain frame · loss frame · risk · choice architecture · decision-making
Good reasoning does not require having no prior beliefs. It requires making room for evidence that could challenge them. Framing can change which consequences become psychologically salient even when the underlying numerical information is equivalent.
“90% survival” and “10% mortality” communicate equivalent numerical outcomes but emphasize different aspects of the same result. A good decision-maker translates between frames before judging.
Evaluate: “Facts speak for themselves.”
Facts are not arbitrary, but evidence must still be measured, selected, represented, communicated, and interpreted. Scientific procedures help prevent a preferred explanation from controlling every stage.
Compare fictional choice percentages in survival-frame and mortality-frame conditions. Identify the independent variable, dependent variable, difference between conditions, and the strongest justified conclusion.
Calibrate this claim: “One observation about Confirmation Bias, Framing & Decision-Making tells us everything important about a person.”
Frame Flip Lab: rewrite five claims in equivalent gain and loss frames, then identify what changed psychologically and what remained mathematically constant.
For four claims write:
Choice architecture can be used to simplify beneficial decisions, but hidden manipulation, coercion, unfair defaults, and reduced autonomy require ethical scrutiny.
Write a 250–400 word evidence-based analysis applying Confirmation Bias, Framing & Decision-Making to a fictional, public, or non-sensitive example.
Audit the wording of the semester research question and any proposed survey items. Could phrasing steer respondents toward a particular answer? Revise where needed.
What would it look like to test one of your own ideas rather than merely defend it?