Ensemble & Probability Brief

Solanar Graduate Program · Advanced Operational Meteorology

S

Graduate Learner

Week / Case

Mentor / Examiner

1. Ensemble / Cycle

2. Forecast Variable / Threshold

3. Spread

4. Clusters / Scenarios

5. Outliers

6. Calibration / Bias

7. Probability Estimate

8. Decision Threshold

9. Confidence / Alternative

Diagnose · Test · Forecast · Verify · DefendJennifer Kay Pearl · Verve N Veda · Khaemenes Academy · Solanar Observatory