Ensemble Prediction & Probability Brief

Solanar Graduate Program · Numerical Weather Prediction & Data Assimilation

S

Graduate Learner

Week / Experiment

Mentor / Examiner

1. Ensemble / Cycle

2. Perturbation Strategy

3. Model Error Treatment

4. Mean / Median

5. Spread

6. Clusters

7. Threshold Probabilities

8. Calibration

9. Decision Scenarios

Model · Assimilate · Predict · Verify · ReproduceJennifer Kay Pearl · Verve N Veda · Khaemenes Academy · Solanar Observatory